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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">msi</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Современная наука и инновации</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Modern Science and Innovations</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2307-910X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>North-Caucasus Federal University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.37493/2307-910X.2021.4.18</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">msi-485</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ПОЛИТОЛОГИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>POLITICAL SCIENCES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>АФГАНСКИЙ РАЗЛОМ ЛЕТА 2021 Г.: ПРОГНОСТИЧЕСКАЯ ЭЛИТОЛОГИЯ О ПРИРОДЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКОЙ ДЕСТРУКТИВНОСТИ</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>AFGHAN RIFT OF THE SUMMER 2021: PROGNOSTIC ELITHOLOGY ON THE NATURE OF POLITICAL DESTRUCTIVENESS</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Карабущенко</surname><given-names>П. Л.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Karabushchenko</surname><given-names>P. L.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">Pavel_karabushenko@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Астраханский государственный университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Astrakhan State University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2021</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>04</day><month>08</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>162</fpage><lpage>172</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Карабущенко П.Л., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Карабущенко П.Л.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Karabushchenko P.L.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://msi.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/485">https://msi.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/485</self-uri><abstract><p>Развернувшиеся летом 2021 г. события вокруг Афганистана, стали свидетельством геополитического переустройства мира, связанного с окончательным крушением монополярного мироустройства. Скептики заявили о том, что мир погружается в хаос, в связи с уходом с политической арены гегемона (США); оптимисты стали утверждать о становлении основ многополярного мира, с новыми в международных отношениях полюсами власти (лидерами) и новыми геополитическими «правилами игры». Безопасность стала одной из ключевых ценностей современного политического мира. Особенно ценной стала коллективная безопасность на вызовы системных угроз. Рост нестабильности в конкретном регионе может вызвать цепную реакцию и породить усиление неуправляемого хаоса. Справиться с такими вызовами возможно, лишь создав коллективную систему безопасности, исключающую диктат со стороны мирового гегемона. События лета 2021 г. вокруг Афганистана показали, насколько хрупким может быть мир и существующая система международных отношений. Порожденное проводимой в этом регионе западной коалиции во главе с США политикой насаждения демократических ценностей, породило целый ряд серьезных социально-экономических и культурно-политических проблем. Ряд ведущих стран этого региона (Россия, Китай, Иран, Индия) встали перед проблемой предотвращения распространения неуправляемого хаоса и общей дестабилизации обстановки в Евразии - в регионе по линии Кавказ - Каспий - Средняя Азия - Памир/Тибет. Афганская геополитическая дуга может серьезно дестабилизировать обстановку на всем евразийском пространстве, если своевременно не купировать возникшие и исходящие оттуда угрозы. Статья посвящена анализу возникающих в связи с последними афганскими событиями угроз международной безопасности.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The events around Afghanistan in the summer of 2021 were the evidence of the geopolitical reorganization of the world associated with the final collapse of the monopolar world order. Skeptics said that the world was plunging into chaos, due to the departure of the hegemon (USA) from the political arena; optimists began to assert the formation of the foundations of a multipolar world, with new powers in international relations (leaders) and new geopolitical "rules of the game". Security has become one of the key values of the modern political world. Collective security against the challenges of systemic threats has become especially valuable. The growth of instability in a particular region can cause a chain reaction and give rise to an increase in uncontrollable chaos. It is possible to cope with such challenges only by creating a collective security system that excludes dictate from the world hegemon. The events of the summer of 2021 around Afghanistan showed how fragile the world and the existing system of international relations can be. The policy of imposing democratic values pursued in this region by the Western coalition led by the United States has given rise to a number of serious socio-economic, cultural and political problems. The leading countries of this region (Russia, China, Iran, India) faced the problem of preventing chaos and general destabilization of the situation in Eurasia - in the region along the line of the Cauca-sus - Caspian - Central Asia - Pamir/Tibet. The Afghan geopolitical arc can seriously destabilize the situation throughout the Eurasian space. The article is devoted to the analysis of threats to in-ternational security that arise in connection with the latest Afghan events.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Афганистан</kwd><kwd>талибы</kwd><kwd>власть</kwd><kwd>элита</kwd><kwd>геополитика</kwd><kwd>вызовы и угрозы</kwd><kwd>война</kwd><kwd>религиозный экстремизм</kwd><kwd>кризис</kwd><kwd>гегемония</kwd><kwd>деструктивность</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Afghanistan</kwd><kwd>Taliban</kwd><kwd>power</kwd><kwd>elite</kwd><kwd>geopolitics</kwd><kwd>challenges and threats</kwd><kwd>war</kwd><kwd>religious extremism</kwd><kwd>crisis</kwd><kwd>hegemony</kwd><kwd>destructiveness</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Donald Rumsfeld.Known and Unknown: A Memoir: - Sentinel, 2011. - 832p.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Donald Rumsfeld.Known and Unknown: A Memoir: - Sentinel, 2011. - 832p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">K talibam prisoedinilsya brat prezidenta Afganistana. 2108.2021. - URL: https://news.mail.ru/politics/47606623/?frommail=1&amp;exp id=899</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">K talibam prisoedinilsya brat prezidenta Afganistana. 2108.2021. - URL: https://news.mail.ru/politics/47606623/?frommail=1&amp;exp id=899</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Styuart M. 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